Statistical analysis could predict bankrupt stocks

Thursday, May 3, 2012 - 13:00 in Mathematics & Economics

(Phys.org) -- During the 20-year period from 1989 to 2008, 21% of of all stocks listed in US stock markets became bankrupt. Since bankruptcies affect many investors and have played a large role in the recent global financial crisis, predicting bankruptcy before it happens could help some investors avoid large losses. In a new study, a team of physicists has used concepts from statistical physics to identify some characteristic behaviors of pre-bankrupt stocks that differ significantly from stocks that don't become bankrupt. The approach may eventually help investors forecast stock bankruptcies weeks or months in advance.

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