London murders: Stats theory shows numbers are predictable

Tuesday, March 17, 2009 - 19:42 in Psychology & Sociology

Leading statistician Professor David Spiegelhalter claims today that the number of murders in London last year was not out of the ordinary and followed a predictable pattern. Spiegelhalter's report, published today in Significance, the magazine of the Royal Statistical Society, argues that shocking headline numbers are not as surprising as one might think.

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