Dear Arsenal: Just So You Know, Goalies Are Prone To The Gambler's Fallacy

Monday, August 4, 2014 - 19:20 in Psychology & Sociology

When soccer games are determined by penalty kicks, it's part technical and part psychological. Players at the highest levels have good technical skills but among them, a few players on each team really stand out - and whenever possible, they are taking the kicks. But they will likely be tired and they know if they miss completely there is no chance to score regardless of what the goalie does, so they approach the shot a little more conservatively than they otherwise would, so goalies know if they can simply guess left or right they stand a decent chance of blocking the shot. read more

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