'Worst-case' CO2 emissions scenario is best for assessing climate risk and impacts to 2050

Tuesday, August 4, 2020 - 11:00 in Earth & Climate

The RCP 8.5 carbon emissions pathway is the most appropriate for conducting assessments of climate change impacts by 2050, according to a new article. Long dismissed as an alarmist or misleading worst-case scenario, the authors argue that is actually the closest approximation of both historical emissions and anticipated outcomes of current global climate policies, tracking within 1% of actual emissions.

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