New way of designing systems against correlated disruptions uses negative probability

Sunday, March 31, 2019 - 21:30 in Astronomy & Space

Until now, systems engineers have struggled with the problem of planning for disaster impacts that are linked by correlation -- like those of earthquakes and tsunamis -- because of the cumbersome calculations necessary to precisely quantify the probabilities of all possible combinations of disruption occurrences. Now researchers have developed a new method for designing and optimizing systems subject to correlated disruptions.

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