Predicting the weather or the economy? How to make forecasts more trustworthy
Wednesday, August 12, 2015 - 15:20
in Earth & Climate
Attention all you would-be forecasters out there. Do you want people to think you know the future? Then predict with a high degree of certainty that something will happen. According to a new study, people trust a forecaster more when s/he predicts that something is more likely to occur.