'Element of surprise' explains why motorcycles are greater traffic hazard than cars

Monday, January 27, 2014 - 22:32 in Mathematics & Economics

“I didn’t see it, because I wasn’t expecting it there,” might be the more accurate excuse for motorists who have just crashed into a bus or a motorcycle. The mere fact that such vehicles are less common than cars on our roads actually makes it harder for drivers to notice them, research shows. This so-called “low-prevalence effect” increases the likelihood of accidents.

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