Predicting an El Niño or La Niña year 17 months in advance

Monday, October 15, 2018 - 10:00 in Earth & Climate

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) leads to extreme climatic variations called El Niño and La Niña that cause dangerous weather conditions in many regions throughout the world. Currently, a reliable forecast of the ENSO phases can be made about a year beforehand. This study details a novel method that allows for the accurate forecast of its phases up to 17 months in advance.

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